Leaders
Libya’s NOC sees E&P optimism through the anger
North African producer hopeful of bringing in IOCs despite the disagreements over terms as latest bidding round is launched
Forward Intelligence
Supercycle goes into reverse
Oil and gas prices could come crashing down, resurrecting ghosts of trade wars past
OPEC compliance improves amid market share threat
The surprise decision to bring on extra supply has coincided with better quota conformity from laggards in the group, Petroleum Economist analysis shows
Gas E&P enters the danger zone
Two consecutive years of sub-par hydrocarbon discoveries signal a precarious time for the energy world
EU and UK look to security beyond gas
The scars of the Russia crisis have accelerated Europe’s push to wean itself off gas dependence as the growing globalisation of LNG becomes a double-edged sword
Sustained low oil prices could kill production for years
Modest downward revisions to 2025 supply belie the longer-term damage to E&P from a weaker oil market
LNG gets political
From China blocking US LNG to Trump demanding that various countries import more of the fuel, the politicisation of LNG is on the rise
In Depth
The never-ending role of hydrocarbons: Part 1
Oil’s resilience and gas’ growth will continue to define the global energy mix into 2050, according to Petroleum Economist analysis, but that does not have to spell doom and gloom for sustainability
The never-ending role of hydrocarbons: Part 2
A rising global population and greater urbanisation will mean increasing demand for energy, but what will be up and down in the mix? Petroleum Economist looks out to 2050 again in the second part of our long-term outlook
The never-ending role of hydrocarbons: Part 3
Technology, policy and narrative are the three biggest factors that could change the course of our 2050 outlook
Letters
Letter from the US: Oil and gas producers face tax threat
Capping state corporate income tax deductions would reduce energy supplies and raise prices
Letter from Saudi Arabia: Energy, diplomacy and the art of the deal
Saudi Arabia is growing as a geopolitical and diplomatic force amid an increasingly fractured world
Letter from Saudi Arabia: Oil and the materials transition
As the global economy grows, demand for materials is expected to increase. The way materials are made could incorporate new technologies in the future to ensure economic growth is more sustainable
Letter from Austria: Traditional indicators no longer tell oil’s story
With extreme weather, refinery closures and geopolitical uncertainty reshaping supply and demand, traders must look beyond headline price movements to understand the actual state of the market
Americas
Trump’s LNG metamorphosis
Fast-tracking US project approvals and increased trade pressures have already changed the LNG landscape since Trump came to office, with further transformation ahead
Trump’s energy policy paradox
US consumers are not likely to see gasoline prices fall to Trump’s ‘beautiful number’, at least if the president also wants to encourage more drilling
Argentina poised to surpass record oil production
Imminent midstream additions in the Vaca Muerta set the stage for sharp jump in upstream growth
Brazil rides a production wave
Latin America’s largest economy expects big uptick in crude this year with the imminent arrival of several FPSOs
Pemex scrambles to plug the gap
The NOC’s dire financial situation and maturing fields have left the authorities with little choice but to reduce crude expectations
Asia Pacific
China eyes Iranian LPG option
Loss of US shipments of key petrochemical feedstock could see Beijing look to Tehran with tariffs set to upend global LPG flows
China’s oil majors making gas shift
PetroChina, Sinopec and CNOOC are aiming to rebalance their energy mixes but face technically difficult deepwater and shale task
Bad omens for Chinese oil demand
Sino-US trade tensions could see crude consumption crumble despite recent buying behaviour
The many faces of China’s oil demand
While economic weakness and the electric vehicles trend have hit oil demand growth, petrochemicals and jet fuel show more nuanced changes across the barrel
India revamps retail fuel business
The country is seeing a notable increase in petroleum product retail outlets, with private operators gaining market share
Australia’s changing gas risks
Australia’s East Coast Gas projections for a supply shortfall have been pushed further out, but the challenge to meet evolving gas demand and the shifting assumptions around the fundamentals remain just as stark
EMEA
UAE studies AI power needs as high gas demand strains energy mix
Rewards offered by investment in the sector must be balanced by its energy consumption amid an increasingly gas-hungry domestic market
Israel’s gas performance chafes against narrow export horizons
Israel continues to strike new oil and gas concession agreements and gas exports continue to rise, but an overreliance on Egypt remains the big concern
Qatar’s Syria gas deal makes regional waves
The Gulf state’s offer to supply electricity-starved Syria is an opportunity to support a key ally, but Doha’s ambitions to build broader pipeline networks to Turkey and Europe face challenges
Mozambique LNG financing cannot lift security gloom
Long-delayed prospects for onshore LNG production in Mozambique have improved thanks to US financing approval, but security challenges blight way ahead
Power play signals change in Nigeria
With a new board appointed to lead NNPC and moves by President Tinubu to exert control in the Delta region, there is renewed hope the country will be able to turn the corner and rebuild production to former peaks
Ugandan crude export pipeline boost
EACOP has overcome a significant hurdle, with a group of regional banks providing an initial financing tranche for a scheme that has attracted criticism from environmental campaigners
Congo-Brazzaville beefs up gas prospects
The government hopes industry reforms can drive ambitious upstream plans
Sasol delays South Africa’s ‘gas cliff’
The company will use methane-rich gas produced from local coal to temporarily replace lost supplies from Mozambique
Carbon Economist
Carbon border tax exemptions to become law
EU Parliament and Council both agree to exempt bulk of importers from paying a carbon tax on goods imported into the EU
Plugging the gaps in CCUS with policy, finance and stakeholder trust
Carbon capture, utilisation and storage needs stable policy, investable frameworks and coordinated infrastructure if it is to be developed at scale
Letter on carbon: Meet America’s first CCS major
Deal with Calpine shows oil and gas major ExxonMobil has no intention of curbing its CCS ambitions, despite US policy risks and broader scepticism over the energy transition
CCS costs surge as trade war rattles developers
Volatile tariffs add new risks for a sector already struggling to achieve economies of scale
Digital Exclusives
9th OPEC International Seminar
Petroleum Economist is proud to be an official media partner for the 9th OPEC International Seminar in Vienna
Unlocking Energy Potential: PERUPETRO Launches Investor Search for Offshore Block Z-69
Peru’s state-owned hydrocarbons agency has launched the search for new investors for Offshore Block Z-69, a high-potential asset in the prolific Talara Basin.