Petroleum Economist
October 2023
The October issue of Petroleum Economist is out now!
Leaders
Aramco’s Nasser says energy security and sustainability can co-exist
But CEO says prematurely discontinuing investments in fossil fuels threatens serious supply shortfalls and may be counterproductive to energy transition
Aramco’s Nasser says energy security and sustainability can co-exist (1)
But CEO says prematurely discontinuing investments in fossil fuels threatens serious supply shortfalls and may be counterproductive to energy transition
Lack of oil and gas investment could be serious issue, warns IEF’s McMonigle
Secretary General believes linear and ideal forms of energy transition will be difficult to achieve especially with false narratives around peak oil demand
Pavilion Energy: Fuelling ambitions for a sustainable energy future
Singapore-based global energy merchant has taken a fundamental first step towards decarbonisation by encouraging its suppliers to document their greenhouse gas emissions
Southeast Asia embraces LNG
Vietnam and the Philippines lay down a marker for the region’s growth prospects with new import terminals
Energy crisis resets expectations for Asia-Pacific LNG demand
Reliability and affordability key in price-sensitive Asian market amid renewed global dependency on natural gas
Gas remains crucial to Southeast Asia’s energy balancing act
The fuel will have a continuing role to play as the region seeks to balance growing energy demand with targets to reduce emissions
Asia’s quest for low-emission LNG
Appetite among the region’s buyers for LNG that can demonstrate low greenhouse gas emissions amid recognition of long-term fossil fuels role
Forward Intelligence
The oil market’s new polymorphism
From crude flows to oil prices, S&P Global Commodity Insights highlights the market’s ability to overcome adversity, albeit with costs involved
Karpowership charts unique course
The floating power station specialist discusses its plans in South Africa and elsewhere
Markets facing distillate squeeze
Crude production cuts and refinery outages mean high prices are looming for heating oil and diesel this winter, and greater shale output will do little to help
In Depth
Letters
Letter from Singapore: Beware oil investment’s death rattle
High prices are no longer a guarantee for increased investment in oil projects despite the warnings of an energy crunch
Letter from Stockholm: Lundin trial could set corporate precedent
Former executives and a successor company are accused of complicity in Sudanese war crimes in what is now South Sudan
Americas
Brazilian upstream enjoys bumper year
Soaring pre-salt production sees Latin America’s largest country pull away from the local competition
Uruguay-focused independent upbeat on farm-in deal
AIM-listed Challenger is seeking partners to help develop its licences off the coast of Uruguay
US shale response to oil price boost may be muted
Behind the rig count data lie differences between public and private operators, acreage questions, the lure of returns and unwavering capital discipline
Canada’s west coast LNG projects gain momentum
Geographical position, long-term demand and decarbonisation efforts continue to support the region’s burgeoning LNG sector
Appalachia’s gas faces infrastructure challenge
Bottlenecks continue to constrain gas-rich Appalachia, and relief may not be in the pipeline
Asia Pacific
Have India’s imports of Russian crude peaked?
Russia has leapfrogged Mideast sources to become India’s largest supplier, but flows may be poised to plateau
Hong Kong looks to LNG to cut emissions
The special administrative region has introduced the fuel as part of its drive for carbon neutrality, but it will take years for imports to ramp up
Malaysia LNG faces growing gas supply challenges
Pipeline problems, maturing fields, gas quality issues and territorial disputes threaten to erode Malaysia’s LNG exports
Australian strikes hit LNG market
Significant capacity is affected, but the market impact may prove limited
EMEA
Brent without Brent: The role of North Sea oil in global prices
The inclusion of WTI Midland in the Brent benchmark has boosted volumes, but with Brent blend taking a backseat, why not just use WTI as the global benchmark?
How the Yom Kippur war changed OPEC
Half a century after the 1973 conflict, the world is dramatically different. But OPEC’s power remains
Refinery delays contribute to Abuja’s fuel challenge
Nigeria’s downstream status quo changed forever with the end of fuel subsidies, but the flagship Dangote refinery has still yet to start operations
Arc of instability threatens Sahel’s upstream, pipeline ambitions
Coups and geopolitical rivalries complicate energy projects in the expansive region
Carbon Economist
SLB on mission to halve cost of carbon capture
Technology company says its latest technologies can achieve 30–50% cost reductions at the capture stage
Carbon markets primed for key role in net-zero push
Curbing emissions globally by using international carbon market mechanisms reduces the cost of mitigation, Andrea Bonzanni, international policy director at the IETA, tells Carbon Economist
EU’s CBAM transition phase will provide valuable insight
Training for regional customs authorities and detailed analysis of reporting accuracy will ensure effectiveness of final scheme
Digital Exclusives
Letter on carbon: Reality check
The IEA has tempered recent optimism over CCUS with a downbeat assessment of the technology’s role in achieving net zero
1Pointfive and Adnoc study large-scale DAC
Companies jointly fund preliminary engineering study of first megaton-scale DAC facility outside US
German researchers ready to scale new DAC system
Successful trials prove reliability of system using waste heat to reduce power consumption, says Centre for Solar Energy and Hydrogen Research Baden-Wuerttemberg
Corporate heavyweights back Japan’s CCS push
Inpex and Mitsubishi Heavy Industries among participants in seven large-scale projects as government sets ambitious expansion targets
The Gulf Energy Information Excellence Awards 2023 winners
The 2023 Gulf Energy Information Excellence Awards was held on Wednesday evening at the Post Oak Hotel in Houston, Texas
North Sea Porthos carbon storage project hits FID
Netherlands’ first major storage project sees costs more than double after two-year delay
Eni claims CCS regulation breakthrough with UK deal
Head of terms agreement for HyNet North West cluster paves way for world’s first asset-based regulated CCS business
China set to relaunch voluntary carbon market
Government publishes new methodologies and regulation for offsets programme that was shelved in 2017
VCMs’ other fragmentation problem
The growing number of individual national carbon exchanges threatens to fragment much needed liquidity