Petroleum Economist
May 2021
The May 2021 issue of Petroleum Economist is out now!
Oil recovery buys Algiers only limited time
New hydrocarbons law may represent a last-chance saloon for the North African producer
Egypt’s Kom Ombo solar reaches belated milestones
Landmark PV project signals Cairo’s growing renewables ambitions
Chip shortage starts to impact solar sector
Enphase is struggling to source microchip-enabled inverters – a key component in solar PV systems
US charging network sits on cusp of change
The Biden administration wants to increase the size of America’s EV charging network by 400pc
Offshore wind investment to surge to 2030
Growth accelerates in Asia, but Europe remains dominant market
Mena region to double solar capacity in 2021 – Apicorp
Region a strong candidate to become a major hydrogen exporter
European power trading innovation: Retaining the special sauce
Complex intra-day power markets increasingly require AI support. But it is important market actors have their own proprietary solutions
European power trading innovation: The rise of PPAs
The end of guaranteed prices for renewables generation is sparking a revolution in risk management
Letter from Australia: ‘Gas-led recovery’ under the microscope
The government has made remarkably little progress on its plans since unveiling the agenda in September 2020
Biden summit triggers bolder climate pledges
Progress on limiting temperature rises to no more than 1.5°C to become clearer by year-end
Mineral supply gap threatens to slow energy transition – IEA
Agency calls on governments to convince investors of need to ramp up supply of critical transition metals
US large caps turn corner
The financial strain is starting to ease as the shale patch sees the effects of rising oil prices
Murban’s long journey only beginning
There will be no immediate promotion into the super league of global crude benchmarks for the Middle East’s latest challenger
Obstacles to renewables growth can be addressed
Supply chain resilience, intermittency issues and ageing grids all stand in the way of decarbonising power supply
Batteries, hydrogen and CCS key to transition
Reaching net-zero emissions will require widespread deployment of all three technologies
Malaysia sweetens upstream deals
The country is taking measures to encourage IOC interest in its latest licensing round
Entropy’s low-cost modular CCS technology
Post-combustion modular technology allows capture of emissions from most common sources of industrial process rather than just largest single source
Restrained US shale set for cashflow pay-off
Rebounding oil prices have boosted company balance sheets, but debt remains the priority over growth
European power trading innovation: Old dogs learn new tricks
The founders of Energy Quantified by Montel have built analysis models before. But this time they have torn up the rulebook
Iraq renews gas drive
Baghdad turns again to China to develop its second largest gasfield
Gulf renewables giants power into Central Asia
Riyadh and Abu Dhabi are exploiting existing ties to corner the region’s burgeoning clean energy sector
Angola brings new deepwater project online
Production at Zinia Phase 2 comes after years of upstream stagnation
Dutch government backs North Sea Porthos CCS project
FID expected this year as developers target 2024 startup for one of world’s largest CCS projects
Sunrun reports strong growth
Small-scale solar plays big role in US market as installers ramp growth and pursue home batteries
Colombian protests threaten output
Demonstrations against proposed tax reform have spread across the country, with an impact on oil and gas
Letter from the Middle East: Saudi Arabia ponders oil privatisation
The Kingdom is weighing up a potential midstream asset sale following an innovative funding move in the UAE
Renewables at 20-year high in 2020
Developers in US, China and Vietnam rush to get projects connected in fourth quarter
Algeria rearranges the deckchairs while the ship sinks
The country’s latest spat with a foreign investor is likely to be just as self-defeating as previous disputes
Aramco resumes upstream action
Oil market recovery is financing a cautious renewal of spending on core domestic projects
SSE and Equinor plan gas power plant with CCS
Project in Scotland would have access to transport and storage infrastructure developed for the Acorn hydrogen project
Letter from Canada: Alberta concedes to energy transition
The region’s hydrocarbons sector grudgingly accepts the inevitable rise of low-carbon energy, and the government is taking steps not to be left out
Global carbon markets look for boost from Cop26 talks
Markets are taking hold anyway but more work is needed to refine rules
RWE’s wind woes highlight transition challenge
Europe’s big utilities report mixed first-quarter earnings as switch to low carbon accelerates
Legislative delays plague South Africa’s upstream
Sizeable offshore potential and growing gas demand may not be enough to offset the difficulties
Vineyard approval reboots US offshore wind sector
Go-ahead for first utility-scale offshore projects sends signal to investors
Conservative hedging bruises US shale
Operator balance sheets are benefitting from the uplift in oil prices, but many could miss out as the bulk of their production is locked into more muted pricing
Myanmar crisis puts IOCs in a bind
Oil companies active in the country face difficult choices as pressure to disengage intensifies
Biden administration’s battle against greenwashing
Government moves to crack down on companies misleading investors over climate and overstating their green credentials
Algerian upstream remains not for the fainthearted
Even after the hydrocarbons law passes, would-be partners will not have troubles to seek
European power trading innovation: Regulatory change transforms the landscape
The rise of intermittent generation is not the only agent of change in electricity markets. Rule changes can also have a significant impact
Algiers promises new solar dawn
Tender expected in June or July for 1GW of solar photovoltaic capacity as government decree mandates new ministry to undertake procurement exercise
South Pars looks to the long term
With the 38 phases associated with Iran’s South Pars gas field nearing completion, focus has shifted to maintaining production stability amid pressure concerns
US coal comes under continued pressure – report
Reduced capacity factors and increasing renewable generation mean trend is accelerating
US wind supply chain to ramp up
Approval of Vineyard Wind marks a point where supply chains will start to develop in earnest
China poised for rapid LNG expansion
New and existing domestic players are investing in regasification infrastructure to help meet surging demand
Scottish CCS cluster to be centred around Acorn project
Emitters in the transport, technology, infrastructure, chemicals, energy and manufacturing sectors could connect to infrastructure
Ex-Tullow CEO sees fresh African opportunities
Paul McDade sees big opportunities among stranded assets in West Africa for his new company
IEA lays out pathway for net-zero emissions by 2050
Report lays out 400 milestones that must be reached across a variety of sectors
Collaborative data key to decarbonisation shift
Hydrocarbons sector is embracing digital technologies to stay financially competitive, but innovation will also ease the transition to low-carbon energy
US faces nuclear closure dilemma
Closure of the Indian Point nuclear power plant last month raises issue of what to do with rest of fleet
European power trading innovation: The rise of non-traditional actors
In the new world of decentralised generation, batteries, EVs and more sophisticated demand-side response, almost any organisation of size is potentially a power market participant
Welcome to the DarkSide: Avoiding another Colonial Pipeline attack
The recent US midstream hack showcases the importance of building a robust cybersecurity foundation
Letter from China: Beijing targets Australian spot LNG
LNG is the latest Australian export targeted by China in its trade spat with Canberra. Even limited moves represent an escalation in the standoff
Saudi Arabia looks positively to the future
The president of Riyadh-based thinktank Kapsarc sees the Kingdom as well-positioned for the industry changes to come
Shell’s shareholders approve climate strategy
Resolution that would have required the firm to do more on near-term targets was rejected
Three strategies for executing lean, green capital projects
Greater digital maturity is needed across the oil and gas sector to ensure efficiency gains meet sustainability imperatives
Three strategies for executing lean, green capital projects (1)
Greater digital maturity is needed across the oil and gas sector to ensure efficiency gains meet sustainability imperatives
Empower connected working with integrated engineering information
Data-centric approach can help mitigate project cost overruns by simplifying workflows into single-source environment
Empower connected working with integrated engineering information (1)
Data-centric approach can help mitigate project cost overruns by simplifying workflows into single-source environment
UK power storage needs could hit 500GW by 2050
Battery storage key to smooth out demand peaks as electrification at least doubles demand
Norway set for PDO bonanza
Tax changes could see 20+ projects take FID
Asian crude demand boosts Petrobras
Surging pre-salt oil production will rely on the region for future revenues and rising exports
Petronor eyes African expansion
The Norwegian firm is looking for new opportunities on the continent
European solar ETF to launch on London Stock Exchange
Fund will offer investors targeted exposure to solar value chain
Nigeria calls for “just” energy transition and gas funding
Nigerian Vice President Yemi Osinbajo urges equitable energy transition for developing world and criticises growing reluctance of developed nations, banks and institutions to fund African gas projects
Start-up in sight for world’s biggest DAC plant
Facility in Permian Basin dwarfs existing plants with capacity to capture one million tons of CO2 a year from the air
Angola seeks to rebuild oil industry
The African country hopes that a major pipeline, refinery developments and upstream reforms will help revive its stagnant oil industry
BP and Eni in Angola JV talks
The companies are considering combining their oil, gas and LNG assets in Angola into a new joint venture
Amazon launches sustainability bond
Bond was part of a much larger, six-part $18.5bn offering
Worst is over for US refining
Wave of recent refinery closures and competitive edge make consolidation increasingly less likely
Mexican arbitration risk builds
Opportunities for foreign investment are being squeezed as authorities strive to roll back energy reforms
Stars align for Kurdish gas exports
Erbil's long-held ambitions to sell its plentiful supplies to gas-poor neighbours move closer to fruition
UK oil and gas workforce can transition – report
Many jobs in more decarbonised 2030 workforce have a large degree of overlap with current roles
CCS and DAC part of the future
The two technologies will be key in the move to a net-zero economy, says Storegga CEO Nick Cooper
Latin American divestment drive opens door to buyers
Portfolio rebalancing is helping boost M&A activity across the continent
US refining makes a comeback
The sector struggled to offset crushing demand losses in 2020, but recent M&A shows momentum change
Summer sun set to shine on European refining
The warmer months ahead promise margins upside
Equinor in joint bid for Norwegian North Sea offshore wind project
Large-scale windfarm would sit in North Sea area ideally located to supply electricity to Europe
Smart cities offer vision of net-zero living
Combination of technology and an integrated approach can deliver sustainable cities
Smart cities offer vision of net-zero living (1)
Combination of technology and an integrated approach can deliver sustainable cities
Electric vehicles: Charging up the UK’s energy transition
UK plans acceleration in roll-out of electric and other low-emission vehicles as sales of new petrol and diesel cars end in 2030
Electric vehicles: Charging up the UK’s energy transition (1)
UK plans acceleration in roll-out of electric and other low-emission vehicles as sales of new petrol and diesel cars end in 2030
The role of a national carbon market in China’s carbon-neutral goal
China’s centrally controlled economy means it can pull a broader range of levers to reduce national emissions than many other states
The role of a national carbon market in China’s carbon-neutral goal (1)
China’s centrally controlled economy means it can pull a broader range of levers to reduce national emissions than many other states
Dutch court rules Shell must cut emissions
Ruling orders major to reduce carbon emissions by 45pc by 2030 from 2019 levels
Shell divests Philippine gas stake
Shell has agreed to sell its stake in Malampaya, the Philippines’ largest productive gas field, as the major continues an aggressive programme of divestments
Cabot deal may prove exception rather than rule
Merger showcases optimism in gas prospects but may not signal a wider shift towards multi-basin M&A
Letter from the Middle East: Green shoots of recovery
There are many reasons to be cheerful across the Mena oil and gas patch
Vaalco eyes West African opportunities
The independent US explorer has expanded in Gabon and is looking elsewhere in the region
Guiding industry along the carbon reduction pathway
PwC’s Juergen Peterseim sees leading role for hydrogen as industries recalibrate for low-carbon future
Guiding industry along the carbon reduction pathway (1)
PwC’s Juergen Peterseim sees leading role for hydrogen as industries recalibrate for low-carbon future
Eni, Total and BP have clearest climate plans
League table of large oil and gas firms show Europe leads US on climate targets and disclosure
Nigeria banks on gas as bridge to renewables
Government could lose 60pc of oil and gas revenue over coming decades in a net-zero scenario
Total approves new company name and strategy
Firm gets shareholder approval for change in name and a climate strategy with interim targets
Aker Carbon Capture eyes growth in Europe and US
Combination of investor pressure and rallying carbon prices drive interest in technology offered by pure-play carbon-capture company
Lithium supply outlook hangs in the balance
Supply of key battery material hinges on pace of investment in mining and processing
Energy firms face rising tide of climate lawsuits – Verisk
Dutch court ruling against Shell will embolden climate activists as focus shifts from governments to corporations
Suncor makes net-zero pledge
Investor pressure convinces Canadian company to confront emissions, but upstream growth remains focus
Suncor makes net-zero pledge (1)
Investor pressure convinces Canadian company to confront emissions, but upstream growth remains focus
Getting ready for CCUS take-off in the US
Drivers include tax incentives, opportunities for generating LCFS credits and federal policy support
Getting ready for CCUS take-off in the US (1)
Drivers include tax incentives, opportunities for generating LCFS credits and federal policy support