Petroleum Economist
LNG market under increasing pressure
Gas and renewables have both been resilient during the pandemic, but pressure to decarbonise will soon challenge gas and LNG
LNG market under increasing pressure (1)
Gas and renewables have both been resilient during the pandemic, but pressure to decarbonise will soon challenge gas and LNG
Denmark bets on new technologies to reach 70pc CO2 cuts
Denmark will probably need CCS and hydrogen to meet its ambitious target of cutting GHG emissions by 70pc by 2030—twice the reduction it has achieved to date
Biden’s almost bullet-proof climate team
The president-elect is putting together a formidable group, partly subject to Senate approval, to spearhead top-priority policy area
Australia banks on Beetaloo for gas-led recovery
Canberra is providing exploration grants for Northern Territory shale play with the potential to rival the US Marcellus
Australia banks on Beetaloo for gas-led recovery (1)
Canberra is providing exploration grants for Northern Territory shale play with the potential to rival the US Marcellus
‘Sector coupling’ could help decarbonise at lower cost
Electrification and sector coupling will be important components of the energy transition, if taxation is adjusted to create a level playing field
Renewables set to claim record share of energy mix in 2021
Wind and solar PV power will continue to grow in 2021 after increasing market share last year—but coal may be set for mini-revival
Streamlining finance key to African transition
Climate funds and MDBs are providing essential investment for the continent’s energy transition, but arrangements are complicated and scale is lacking
The human race, and the race to zero
Reducing carbon emissions is an important and necessary aim—but it should not allow us to ignore the energy needs of the billions of underprivileged people around the world
Funding the transition to net zero
The technology to deliver net-zero carbon emissions is in place. How to fund this energy transition, however, is the next big challenge
Funding the transition to net zero (1)
The technology to deliver net-zero carbon emissions is in place. How to fund this energy transition, however, is the next big challenge
Canada reinvigorates its climate change strategy
Ottawa has updated its climate change plan to overshoot its Paris Agreement target
IOCs rewarding execs for fossil fuel growth, despite net-zero targets
While many EU energy companies have set ambitious carbon emission targets, their remuneration policies lag far behind
Irena: Thermal energy storage to play key role
Thermal capacity is expected to grow threefold by 2030, helping industrial sectors to increase their use of renewable energy
Transforming the transition
Policy must keep pace with climate pledges, if governments
and investors are to turn the energy transition into reality
Georgia Senate victories boost Biden’s climate programme
Success in both races hands the Democrats control of the Senate and gives the president-elect much greater room to manoeuvre
Delek targets London listing
The company is looking to establish a newco on the LSE, while also divesting its Tamar stake
Collaborative approach key to UK CCUS
Government and companies are working together to ‘green’ the country’s industrial base and achieve net-zero emissions by 2050
US E&P firms lack robust carbon reduction plans
Dallas Fed finds just one-third of E&P companies in the region plan to cut carbon emissions over the next five years, with oil and gas capex set to rise
Petrobras scales down
The Brazilian producer revises down its 2021 crude production forecast but still has ambitious long-term pre-salt growth plan
The costs of competition in China’s oil market
The business models of refining incumbents face disruption from integrated new entrants
More change ahead for the shipping sector
An unwinding of some Covid-related effects might challenge VLSFO’s initial IMO 2020 win
Silver linings and silver bullets
The temporary destruction of energy demand may mean Covid-19 is the turning point for the energy transition
China set to take refining top spot
The Asian heavyweight looks poised to knock the US off its perch
US exports shrug off downturn
Flows out of the Gulf Coast—and their influence on global pricing—are set to rebound further in 2021
Senate wins bolster Biden’s agenda
The Democrat victories in Georgia dramatically change the political picture but do not pose an existential threat to the shale patch
Lundin share price struggles to follow rise of production and reserves
Norway-focused producer’s traditional/lower-carbon balancing act fails to set it apart from its peers
China’s carbon market not yet fit for purpose
Announcement of the scheme is encouraging, but it will not be effective until an absolute cap is placed on emissions
HSBC faces shareholder pressure to cut fossil fuel financing
Investors are turning their attention to the banking sector, which pours billions into hydrocarbons each year despite committing to support net-zero by 2050
US CCS poised for expansion
Important updates to the legislation that covers 45Q tax credits mean the industry can now implement plans held up by financing uncertainty
LNG’s future depends on value chain decarbonisation
Coal-replacement has made a huge contribution to CO2 mitigation, but LNG’s social licence will increasingly depend on reducing its carbon profile
Opec should bear in mind its history
The past offers painful warnings against the temptations that 2021 may bring
China’s Iraq influence keeps growing
Chinese companies have strengthened their already healthy position in the Iraqi oil and gas sector as other IOCs back off
Oil price gift boosts US shale
Further production cuts led by Saudi Arabia could signal the start of a US oil sector recovery, but potential headwinds remain
Total bets on US solar
The major snaps up a portfolio including an asset already in production, while Equinor remains at the testing phase
Lloyd’s fossil fuel exit to stimulate Asian insurance
The decision by Lloyd’s of London to exit coverage for the most polluting fossil fuel projects may just spur creation of underwriting capacity elsewhere
Denmark’s oil and gas bans—an exercise in virtue signalling?
No future rounds to award new E&P licences will take place. Given recent exploration activity, it is unlikely anyone will care
Five sustainable energy trends to watch
The pandemic has increased government and investor focus on the fragility of the global economy and natural resources
European carbon price hits record, as climate ambitions bite
The EU is widely expected to reduce the supply of EUAs as part of its efforts to hit net-zero by 2050, on top of recent reforms
UK green bond growth set to overcome Brexit chaos
Green bonds are set for a bumper year throughout Western Europe, and development of a UK market is not expected to be hampered by London losing its passporting rights
Permian to retain US deal-making lead
A Q4 M&A upswing proved there are still consolidation opportunities and the Texas/New Mexico basin will remain the hotspot
Synthetic jet fuel race set for take-off
Repsol and others see synthetic fuel as the most viable long-term alternative to kerosene, but state support is vital
Total drops API on climate concerns
The French firm is hitting the road, but its European peers are sticking with the API for the time being
Equinor’s NY deal ‘quantum leap forward’ for US wind
Equinor’s latest offshore wind power deal with New York state has been described as a momentous development for renewable energy production in the US
Covid-19 accelerates refinery rationalisation
Significant regional changes hurried along by the pandemic will permanently alter global dynamics
Opec+ power shift points to lower crude price paradigm
If Russia can marshal allies to seize control of the producers’ group, it might respond to structural demand concerns with a volume-over-value strategy
One step forward, two steps back in Kuwait
Renewed political upheaval augurs ill for oil sector development plans
Cautionary tales of climate change
Well-intentioned policies can have profoundly damaging consequences. Hopefully, the world takes note as it seeks to meet the Paris goals
Chinese renewables set for bumper year
Commitment to net-zero by 2060, combined with interim targets, has bolstered confidence within the wind and solar sectors
Aker Horizons takes majority stake in Mainstream
Mainstream Renewable Power pushes ahead with global construction programme and planned IPO
Market reform key to African transitions
Outdated energy trading models must be replaced with ones that are more competitive and suitable for renewables if the continent is to attract the investment it needs for the energy transition
Enbridge challenges Michigan mandate
Canadian midstream firm rails against federal executive order calling for Line 5 pipeline closure
Kunlun to use PipeChina cash for downstream growth
An exit from the midstream gives the PetroChina subsidiary a war chest and proves the logic of the country’s gas market rationalisation
Biden inherits Venezuelan conundrum
The incoming US government faces a multitude of foreign policy challenges, but will its arrival also mark reconciliation with Latin America’s largest petrostate?
Central Asian giant faces multiple headwinds
Surging Covid cases are not the only challenges facing Kazakhstan’s largest oil and gas developments
Aviation calls for synthetic blending quotas, tax incentives
Synthetic kerosene prices will fall as production capacity increases and renewable electricity costs decline—but low-margins mean the aviation industry requires help to go green
UK’s emissions market risks falling short
Standalone system will be just 10pc as large as its EU equivalent, and important details have not been announced
European IOCs sticking with API for now
Total’s exit from the influential US oil and gas lobby will not spark an immediate exodus by its peers
Holistic approach needed to achieve net-zero facilities
Tackling the emissions associated with upstream facilities requires attention across working practices, facility design and technology
US oil export infrastructure faces post-boom bust
Previous anxieties over lack of infrastructure have been replaced with fears of looming overcapacity
Blockchains could take a key role in clean energy trading—Davos
Distributed ledgers can bring many benefits to energy markets and solve some of the most difficult problems associated with the transition
No quick fix for Pemex
The government may have been forced to scale back its upstream ambitions. But even the revised targets might be too much, too soon
Cop26 is first big post-Brexit test for ‘Global Britain’
Completion of Article 6 arrangements for emissions trading is the central challenge
Letter from Moscow: Rosneft bucks trend with Arctic push
At a time when many IOCs are shunning large-scale investments in oil extraction, Russia’s biggest oil producer is pressing ahead with perhaps its largest ever undertaking
Saudi steps back to move forward
Unilateral production cuts and reconciliation with Qatar may look like a full retreat from longstanding policy positions. But they may yet prove smart tactical moves
Net-zero drive triggers surge in voluntary offset interest
Voluntary carbon offsets permanently retire allowances and therefore verifiably lock in climate benefits
Sasol stakes its survival on coal replacement and green H<sub>2</sub>
The South African company—which makes synthetic fuels from coal—is struggling to survive in a low-carbon world
Kazakhstan backslides on renewables push
Despite huge potential for every major form of green power, the government is increasingly reluctant to phase out coal
Whole economy must decarbonise, not just power—Davos
The ‘other 75pc’ of the global economy needs to help the world get to net-zero, and the financial sector should help facilitate progress
Woodside consolidates Sangomar ownership
The Australian producer has upped its stake in the Senegal oil development in two deals, but plans to shed some of that equity this year
Energy efficiency gains trump renewables—Davos
The importance of energy efficiency is overlooked but is crucial to tackling climate change, according to Luxembourg’s energy minister
Biden embarks on difficult journey to ‘green’ America—Davos
The new president’s green agenda will help restore the US as a global force for climate change leadership
Repsol to expand aviation biofuel production
Spain’s leading refiner sees low-carbon fuel manufacturing as key to achieving its emissions targets
Suriname plays exploration catch-up
After years of drilling letdowns, the small Latin American nation is finally starting to prove its offshore potential
Oman runs hard to stand still
The sultanate’s long-term oil ambitions are modest, but the urgent appetite for fresh gas supply remains
Russia benefits from standing its ground in oil price grey zone
Saudi sacrifice shows greater appetite for compromise in a price environment that is not win-win for the two Opec+ heavyweights
Letter from Canada: Keystone XL’s demise a fiasco and opportunity
The Canadian oilsands industry should now be clear where it stands and plan accordingly
Japan’s unseasonal curb highlights power instability
Energy supply is still missing its nuclear ‘third leg’ and a huge expansion of renewables is urgently needed
Caracas turns to capitalism for survival
Venezuelan government makes moves to liberalise oil sector as economic sanctions push production to 50-year low
Pavilion prepares for carbon neutrality as normal
The Singaporean firm is laying the foundations for when carbon-neutral LNG will be a requirement
Pavilion prepares for carbon neutrality as normal (1)
The Singaporean firm is laying the foundations for when carbon-neutral LNG will be a requirement
Kuwait and Oman hope for peace dividend
More cordial Saudi-Qatar relations raise hopes for economic and energy investment progress in other GCC allies. But serious challenges remain
Rewriting the LNG rulebook
New US Gulf Coast gas contract highlights the sector’s changing buyer-seller dynamic and increasing demand for pricing flexibility
Energy transition at forefront of EU diplomacy
The EU Council intensifies diplomatic efforts on energy pursuant to the EU’s rising global climate ambitions
Oil majors face credit downgrades amid rising investor pressure
S&P has placed 13 IOCs, including ExxonMobil and Shell, on negative watch, while investment giant BlackRock warns of ‘tectonic shift’
Understanding carbon intensity of oil will help producers address energy transition
Fossil fuels will play a major part in global energy supplies for decades to come, meaning the industry and policymakers must focus on how to encourage the lowest-carbon intensive sources
Understanding carbon intensity of oil will help producers address energy transition (1)
Fossil fuels will play a major part in global energy supplies for decades to come, meaning the industry and policymakers must focus on how to encourage the lowest-carbon intensive sources
Biden moves fast on climate plan
The president has signed a series of executive orders to advance his climate policies, but Senate Republicans remain an obstacle
Creating value from carbon dioxide
Rather than treating CO2 as a waste biproduct, the CEO of C4X Technologies says converting CO2 into valuable products could dramatically reduce the timeline to net-zero
CC(U)S—Spotting problems in the pipeline
Even though the carbon capture sector is only just taking off, those thinking about getting involved need to consider the costs of decommissioning
CC(U)S—Spotting problems in the pipeline (1)
Even though the carbon capture sector is only just taking off, those thinking about getting involved need to consider the costs of decommissioning
Stormy weather ahead for energy transition M&A
Strategic M&A deals are always fraught with risk, and there will be too many oil and gas companies chasing too few transition-focused targets
Stormy weather ahead for energy transition M&A (1)
Strategic M&A deals are always fraught with risk, and there will be too many oil and gas companies chasing too few transition-focused targets
Hess’ Bakken gas-gathering efforts bear fruit
The company reports a remarkable shift in its oil/gas mix in the North Dakota shale play
China’s shale gas set for double boost
A push for more domestic production to buttress supply security and Beijing’s ambitious drive to decarbonise its economy will both supercharge the sector
Letter from the Middle East: Qatar rapprochement could bring gas benefits
Greater GCC harmony might offer an opportunity to untangle some of the Middle East’s notoriously illogical gas dynamics, but LNG looks more promising than pipelines
Biden’s climate stance spurs business interest in CO<sub>2</sub> pricing
A growing number of companies and business associations have expressed support
Can the oil and gas industry deliver Canada’s hydrogen strategy?
The national government presented its new three-phase strategy in December that will build on its strengths in hydrocarbons and renewables
Can the oil and gas industry deliver Canada’s hydrogen strategy? (1)
The national government presented its new three-phase strategy in December that will build on its strengths in hydrocarbons and renewables
Financing hydrogen projects brings unique challenges
Hydrogen projects need bankable offtake schemes, with ammonia, refining and mobility projects offering the most promise
Financing hydrogen projects brings unique challenges (1)
Hydrogen projects need bankable offtake schemes, with ammonia, refining and mobility projects offering the most promise
Regulation set to be biggest challenge facing wind sector
DNV GL – Energy CEO foresees offshore wind boom, with improving electricity storage helping renewables claim bigger share of the energy mix