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  4. Feb 2008

Petroleum Economist

As the scramble for oil and gas assets intensifies, international oil companies need to adapt to two related challenges: the resurgence of resource nationalism and stiffer competition from national oil companies as they expand beyond their borders. Alex Forbes reports
There are three ways of doing business with ExxonMobil: "The Exxon way, the Exxon way and the Exxon way. In that order." Tom Nicholls writes
A crude pipeline that avoids the bottleneck of the Malacca Straits has plenty of appeal for Mideast Gulf producers shipping oil to east Asia. But any such project faces significant hurdles, writes Martin Clark
South America's plans for a regional gas pipeline network are being quietly dropped in favour of LNG, writes Robert Cauclanis
No NOC or IOC, no matter how large or capable, has all the answers to the challenges ahead. Without co-operation, the energy sector will unlikely be able to make the $20 trillion investment in infrastructure necessary to meet rising demand. By Milton Costa Filho, general manager, and Pedro Martínez Lara, technical assistant, Petrobras Mexico
Volatility in the crude markets persists, as bearish sentiment last week gave way to a sharp spike in the price of oil in New York. The contract for March delivery of light sweet crude was trading at $91.88/b on Monday, up by around $3.50/b from Thursday.
Several days of strong buying have pushed oil prices back into the mid-$90/b range. On Monday, the market consolidated gains of more than $8/b in the past week. In London, the price for Brent crude for April delivery had increased to more than $95/b. In New York, the contract for March delivery of light sweet crude oil traded at up to $96.24/b.
The chances of a further weakening in oil prices are increasing as concern over the economic outlook for the US, the world's largest energy consumer, builds. For now, prices are proving resilient: at around $90 a barrel, futures are level with last week and are still only 10% below the record high of above $100/b set at the start of the year.
Oil prices remain at around $100 a barrel and are likely to hold steady over the next few days. On Tuesday, Nymex light crude futures were trading at just over $99/b and Brent futures were just short of $98/b.
Proponents of biofuels in the transport sector have been forced on to the defensive by findings suggesting the environmental benefits may not be as great as previously suggested. But Western governments still believe the sector has a big future, writes Ian Lewis
Over the next 15-20 years, biofuels could meet much more of the world's energy needs. But the economic, environmental and social effects of development must be assessed to inform strategies. By Alexander Müller, assistant director-general, Natural Resources Management and Environment Department, UN Food and Agriculture Organization